Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Mayorial campaign

No Free Buses Elections in New York have by hijacked by incumbents to get them reelected. There tools are spin, money and a weak press to get their job done. What a difference election day makes August 3, 2009 Bloomberg Calls for Free Crosstown Buses Today Bloomberg budget ax will cut to the bone

Turnout Mostly About Race The media is reporting that the closeness of the mayor race was caused by Bloomberg support of changes to term limits and an anti incumbent nation wide vote. But if one examines the the NYT block by block results of the mayoral election you see that the vote had a lot to do with race. Staten Island except for the North Shore went for Bloomberg as did the Eastside of Manhattan. Harlem, Central Brooklyn and South East Queens went for Thompson. The racial voting pattern really stands out in South West Brooklyn where only Coney Island and Marboro Houses voted for Thompson, the only two neighborhoods in that area of Brooklyn where blacks live in mass. Thompson good showing is an out growth of last years Obama registration in the black communities, while Bloomberg failure to meet the poll spread had a lot to do with the white community unlearning the habit of voting because the incumbent elected officials in their areas get reelected without opposition year after year. Another clue to the closeness of the mayor's race Whites become minority on NYC council , The polls used the old turnout numbers without taking into account the great changes in the city's voting patterns Polls failed to predict tight contest in mayoral race *** Paterson Embolden by Thompson Results The gov starts his campaign commercials TV buys. His team is putting it out on the Internet and the press in hopes it will be talked about, like were doing here and pump up his very low poll numbers. Paterson is more likely to run his race on race, something Thompson refused to do Paterson Accuses Media Of Racism * Elsewhere: Did the Media Sink Thompson? Howard Kurtz scolds New York City reporters for not taking Thompson more seriously" Pollster looks to Cover His Ass Unreleased Marist Poll Showed Thompson Closing in on Bloomberg True News: NY's No Spin Zone While the Bloomberg campaign was spinning the media for votes only True News reported that the city's economic melt down and the lack of state funding for the MTA would make the mayor's plan for free crosstown buses impossible. Today's Answer by the mayor Keep waiting for that free crosstown bus: Bloomy *** Bloomberg Calls for Free Crosstown Buses - City Room Blog (NYT) * Mayor Bloomberg mulls making snail-like crosstown buses free (DN) * BLOOMBERG: FREE CROSSTOWN BUS SERVICE FOR ALL (NYP) Artz's Triangulation Lobbyist consultant George Artz is very comfortable representing three sides at once. Artz's has a lifelong relationship with Ed Koch who Doesn't Appreciate John Liu's Snubbing of Mayor Bloomberg yesterday. Artz who said on NY1 last night that he represented Liu was analysing why Liu missed the tradition unity photo op with the mayor the day a's fter the election

What In A Mandate?

Michael Bloomberg: “That was as close to a mandate as I think you can possibly come in a very difficult time.”

11.7% of all the registered voters voted in the city voted for Bloomberg on Tuesday. Before the paper is counted, the mayor received 548,660 out of the 4,657,516. The recent runoff does make Tuesday's vote look like a mandate. In New York the Democratic Primary is the real election, for most elective officers.. In the primary our new Comptroller John Liu received 127,173 or just 4% of the registered Democrats in the city (3,177,740) in the runoff. De Blasio did a little better with 138, 736, he got 4.4% of the city's democratic voters. John Liu was elected with just 2.7% of all the city's registered voters casting their vote for him.

How can you have a mandate when registered voters feel or become disconnected, that they don't vote? If the numbers of people participation in recent New York elections occurred in the third world, Jimmy Carter would be demanding to bring in UN inspectors.

Henry Stern who heads up NY Civic sent around a good analysis yesterday, that analysis how the numbers of New Yorkers who vote has dramatically fallen, not only during the past two Bloomberg elections, but also over the last century in the city.(Several other papers have picked up his analysis today) Stern reported that Mayor O’Dwyer election in 1941, which took place one month before the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor received 1,100,649 more votes than Bloomberg 68 years before mayor won his third term.
The 1940 census reported the population of New York City to be 7,454,995. The most recent estimate from the City Planning Commission, as of July 1, 2009, gives the population of New York City as 8,363,710. Two decades before that Mayor John Francis Hylan(1921) Jimmy Walker(1925) both received 200,000 thousand more votes than Bloomberg on Tuesday. In 1921 the City's population was 620,000. The Village Voice's Wayne Barrett wonders if Bloomberg will get the message why New Yorkers are not voting? Barrett: Just How Strange and Pathetic was Bloomberg's Victory? (Village Voice) "The key question coming out of this election is whether Mike Bloomberg got the message. Can he listen to voters he'll never face again? If Bloomberg L.P took a hit like he did Tuesday, wouldn't the company take stock and make real changes?" Barrett thinks the mayor's spin operation is impenetrable as witnessed by the spin reported in today's NYP Mike is psyched despite thin win . . . “The Democratic Party is winning elections by reducing turnout,” says Fred Siegel, a historian at the Cooper Union. Siegel would be more accurate by saying incumbents and what left of the political parties love light turnout so they can used their small core of loyal voters to control the vote or the political party. The NYP and the NYP have articles how the democrats are blaming each other for Paterson narrow defeat Gov blew it for Thompson: labor big(NYP) Stuart Appelbaum, president of the Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union, said he offered Paterson and state Democratic Chairman Jay Jacobs union funds to hire "a Howard Wolfson-like strong advocate" to take on Bloomberg, but that the offer was refused by Paterson Obama team goes on defensive over tepid support for Thompson *** The Morning After, Democrats Regret Lost Chances to Win(NYT) *** Thousands Failed to Vote, for Just as Many Reasons(NYT) *** Daly from the Daily News says Bloomberg won because he did what the governors of New Jersey and Virginia failed to do. Bloomberg actually made people's lives better *** The Daily News continues it tend of support for Bloomberg their editorial talks about anger of the voters in NJ and says New Yorkers are mad also but does not attribute the closeness of the mayoral race to voter anger or quite frankly tell us how New York's election system allows voters to express anger. How can voters vote out Albany elected officials next year when most of them will not have an opponent, let alone the millions in slush fund member items that uses tax payer money to buy votes for their reelection? None of the stories today talked about how much of the media coverage was about inaccurate polls or greatly influenced by information in those polls, one of which said the mayor would win by 18%. This lack of accurate poll data allowed Democrats to line-up to endorse the mayor or stay out of the race all together, Pollsters Hit And Miss On 2009 Elections , Today's Tip Sheet: Thompson's Own Poll Finds a Closer Race - City Ladies and gentleman of the press lets forgo the round of good government groups jumping into the voter melt down issue, those jerks accomplish nothing beyond getting into your articles,

Best and the Brightest Wasn't
Voted rejected mayor's money and muscle and selling charade . . . His sophisticated strategy and tech advanced GOTV seems to be all smoke and mirrors (turnout was the lowest in modern city historyBloomberg Campaign Adds a Get-Out-the-Vote Tactician - NYTimes.com. Spending the 100 million lost the mayor votes. Voters did not buy mayor's intimidating tactics, seemingly at odds with Mr. Bloomberg’s image as a nonpolitician, like elbowing out of Representative Anthony D. Weiner . . . . Bloomberg talked about post racial city but the mayor won with the white vote . . . embarrassingly close results trickled in . . . Bloomberg's rebuke . . . $157.27 per vote for Bloomberg.” . . . Buying silence . . . Mayor's spinning continues Campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson, who can spin any failure into smashing success, declared it was "the most difficult environment for incumbents since 1994" and called Bloomberg's narrow win "an enormous victory." The mayor's victory speech made no mention of his narrow escape. Campaign kept all news off the TVs in the ballroom, even avoiding showing Thompson's concession speech. As an 11-piece band played soul and rock tunes, and Ed Koch kept the crowd going, while tuxedoed waiters passed trays of minisliders and regular hot dogs, which must have been the city's priciest - beating even Yankee Stadium's wieners. . . Hillary's people almost destroy another one Bloomberg spokesman Howard Wolfson shrugged off the close total, saying, "Whether the Yankees win in four or five or six or seven games, they are still the world champions." Jake Tapper doesn’t think Joyce Purnick’s story reads well a day later*** Bloomberg Spends $18.6M on Campaign, Feeding Staff -- Daily Intel *** Welcome to Camp Bloomberg | The New York Observer


No matter how they spin it Bloomberg did not win by 5-points, he won, so far in round numbers, 51% so obviously 49% of voters who showed up voted against him and a lot of voters voted with their feet

Bloomberg Improves his MTA Economic Forecasting Abilities Since the campaign billionaire seem to have sharpened his MTA budget forecasting skills, he now see the structural multi years problem with that agency. During the campaign he thought there was enought money to pay fo free crosstown bus service, even with the rejection of his revenue generating but not to popular in the outer boroughs congesting pricing plan. Mayor Proposes Free Crosstown Buses - NYTimes.com Now the campaign is over the Mayor got his economic grove back. On his weekly radio show Bloomberg said "People are screaming about what they do now; wait until they see what happens in March," Bloomberg told WOR's John Gambling, reiterating that this all probably could have been avoided if Albany had seen fit to go along with his congestion pricing plan. We suggested it two years ago," the mayor said. "And I don’t know the MTA would have had all its problems solved, but it would have a lot of money and could have used most of that to get more bus lines, make the subways run faster, make the subways safer." Will the MTA Destroy NYC?

Where was the Times with these stories BEFORE THE ELECTION? Welfare Rolls in New York City Begin to Rise, Belatedly - NYTimes.com *** Bloomberg wins elections and then cuts back on everything he promised 4 Schoolyards Cut From Bloomberg’s PlaNYC Goal of 290 Parks - NYTimes.com *** City nixes 3,000 Section 8 vouchers

State arbitrators decided the raises based on what other unions have got -- specifically, the city's DC-37. Last fall (a month after Lehman Bros. fell), Mayor Bloomberg awarded DC-37's 100,000 workers the same generous wages as the TWU later got (albeit for two years, not three) *** Bus fuss in Bronx Cuts to strand 1000s

No Recession in Campaign Bloomberg The mayor's team ran a campaign where the city's economy almost never came up. They had the help of a willing press and a poorly run campaign by Thompson and Avella. In the NY1 debate questions about the economy were never asked. They were able to run a campaign that promised more services. For that already well paid they we get bonuses. The press will get to stay in the Blue Room and Room 9. Mike's campaign bonus babies Despite the recession and an unexpectedly slim margin of victory, Mayor Bloomberg is paying out larger bonuses to campaign staffers this year than he did in 2005 *** Bloomberg’s Election Aides Said to Get Customary Bonuses (NYT) *** Bloomberg gives $1 million in bonuses to campaign staff

Bloomberg Improves his MTA Economic Forecasting Abilities Since the campaign billionaire seem to have sharpened his MTA budget forecasting skills, he now see the structural multi years problem with that agency. During the campaign he thought there was enought money to pay fo free crosstown bus service, even with the rejection of his revenue generating but not to popular in the outer boroughs congesting pricing plan. Mayor Proposes Free Crosstown Buses - NYTimes.com Now the campaign is over the Mayor got his economic grove back. On his weekly radio show Bloomberg said "People are screaming about what they do now; wait until they see what happens in March," Bloomberg told WOR's John Gambling, reiterating that this all probably could have been avoided if Albany had seen fit to go along with his congestion pricing plan. We suggested it two years ago," the mayor said. "And I don’t know the MTA would have had all its problems solved, but it would have a lot of money and could have used most of that to get more bus lines, make the subways run faster, make the subways safer." Will the MTA Destroy NYC?

Where was the Times with these stories BEFORE THE ELECTION? Welfare Rolls in New York City Begin to Rise, Belatedly - NYTimes.com *** Bloomberg wins elections and then cuts back on everything he promised 4 Schoolyards Cut From Bloomberg’s PlaNYC Goal of 290 Parks - NYTimes.com *** City nixes 3,000 Section 8 vouchers

Bloomberg Keeps His Billions Separate From His Mayoral Obligations? Yeah, Right! By Wayne Barrett

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